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The Generalized Dutch Disease
Evidence from the cross-section of US states
Feb 17
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23
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Retrenchment Masquerading as Escalation
News of the kidnapping set off a cottage industry of takes by journalists, academics and opinion makers.
Jan 11
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23
36
4
Height gains predict future productivity growth
The biological channel of modernization
Dec 24, 2025
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15
4
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A Nuclear Zugzwang?
Oct 1, 2022
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The Church's crusade against cousin-marriage did not create the Western nuclear family
May 8, 2021
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Debunking the Pettis-Miran Hypotheses
Apr 13, 2025
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152
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The Making of the Mother of All Economic Booms
Mar 18, 2021
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28
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The End of US Hegemony
Mar 15, 2025
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46
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The Fed Will Pivot Now
Jan 13, 2023
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Discussions
England did not escape the Malthusian Trap first
When I began reading Angus Bylsma’s Substack, I sort of assumed he was a professor of history at an elite university because his reviews were…
Dec 18, 2025
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On the Strategy of Coalition Warfare
Is the whole bigger than the sum of the parts?
Dec 13, 2025
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14
2
Heads I win; tails you lose
Only the house wins
Dec 2, 2025
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6
2
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Has Intergenerational Progress Stalled?
Evidence of regression from IPUMS
Nov 20, 2025
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3
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AI May Already Be Sentient
This is a speciation event
Oct 12, 2025
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The Military Potential of the Male Lineage Group
British social anthropology reconsidered
Sep 30, 2025
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30
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Suicide and the Crisis of Meaning
Are we a barbaric civilization?
Sep 9, 2025
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31
7
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The War of Numbers
Testing Todd's demographic defense hypothesis
Sep 1, 2025
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7
3
The Demographic Modernization of the Muslim World
I just finished reading Youssef Courbage and Emmanuel Todd’s A Convergence of Civilizations: The Transformation of Muslim Societies Around the World…
Aug 24, 2025
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