Ambrus Béla's Geopolitical Outlooks
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The Controversies and the Omissions of the Munich Security Conference
Between Existential Alarm and Strategic Reality
Feb 16
•
Ambrus Béla
9
2
2
Sovereignty Is Dead
Making Power Uncomfortable With Itself
Feb 15
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Ambrus Béla
8
3
2
The Logic—and the Risk—Behind Takaichi’s New Abenomics
Updating an Old Formula for a Riskier Era of Negotiated Sovereignty
Feb 12
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Ambrus Béla
8
3
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Profit Over Peace: The Hidden Economics of the Ukraine War
Dec 10, 2025
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Ambrus Béla
38
17
18
Central European Tensions Rise as Czech Government Signals Immediate Confrontation with Brussels
Dec 10, 2025
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Ambrus Béla
28
4
10
Why Removing Kallas Would Change Nothing — and Removing Orbán Would Change Everything
Jan 13
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Ambrus Béla
23
7
7
Davos 2026 — The Damage Control Edition
Jan 24
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Ambrus Béla
17
7
7
Sovereignty Is Over: How Financial Power Replaced Military Occupation
Jan 4
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Ambrus Béla
17
7
6
Viktor Orbán’s Geostrategic Gamble
Nov 24, 2025
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Ambrus Béla
15
3
4
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Heavy loses for Pedro Sánchez’s Socialists in the regional election
Spain’s Political Shift and Broader EU Conservative Momentum
Feb 10
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Ambrus Béla
5
2
2
Free Speech or Foreign Censorship?
The Strategic Consequences of Talking Past Each Other: the EU and the U.S. Are Reframing Free Speech as a Geopolitical Issue
Feb 4
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Ambrus Béla
8
3
2
The “Mother of All Deals”? Europe Gets Cheaper Tea — and a Bill Later
Historic for Brussels, Risky for Everyone Else
Jan 27
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Ambrus Béla
15
3
7
Rumored Leader-Targeting Events
A Comparative Strategic Analysis Under Conditions of Managed Silence
Jan 27
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Ambrus Béla
11
2
The Italo-German Turn and the Eclipse of Strategic Autonomy
From Pragmatic Accommodation to Post-Hegemonic Stability
Jan 26
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Ambrus Béla
12
1
5
Institutional Legitimacy in the Post-Globalist Interregnum
Law, Power, and Judgment After the Collapse of the Rules-Based Order
Jan 26
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Ambrus Béla
7
2
2
Davos 2026 — The Damage Control Edition
A Prolonged Interregnum: From Gramsci & Carney to the Sledgehammer Foreign Policy
Jan 24
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Ambrus Béla
17
7
7
The Ventura Paradox: How Portugal’s "Far Right" Wins Pluralities and Loses Majorities
Why Chega Can Shout but Not Govern
Jan 16
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Ambrus Béla
7
1
Why Removing Kallas Would Change Nothing — and Removing Orbán Would Change Everything
An unreformable system must eventually criminalize resistance
Jan 13
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Ambrus Béla
23
7
7
Sovereignty Is Over: How Financial Power Replaced Military Occupation
The System is being Stress-Tested — and Cracking
Jan 4
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Ambrus Béla
17
7
6
Serbia Under Pressure: Between Brussels and Everyone Else
How Kosovo, Energy, and Great-Power Competition Are Narrowing Belgrade’s Choices
Dec 28, 2025
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Ambrus Béla
13
4
5
Merry Christmas Everyone
And Mistletoe and Wine...
Dec 23, 2025
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Ambrus Béla
13
3
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Recommendations
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