2025 has been an exhausting and torrential year for transgender people in the United States. Within weeks of his return to office, Trump issued an executive order threatening any provider of gender-affirming hormone therapies to a patient under 19 with the loss of all federal funding, effectively coercing hospital networks into dropping their transgender patients under threat of federal investigations into patient medical records. This has had a devastating impact on families across the country, many of whom have already had to navigate the changing map of state law banning this care for minors, and some of whom are making the arduous and heartbreaking decision to leave the United States altogether in pursuit of a better life for their children.
Any mention of transgender people is being purged from school curriculum and public libraries in states across the country, an effort the Trump administration has elevated to the Centers for Disease Control, the National Institute of Health, and apparently the Smithsonian which refused to exhibit a portrait of a Black transgender woman in the robe and crown of Lady Liberty by the esteemed artist Amy Sherald. Schools that recognize the rights of transgender students are being threatened with defunding by the administration, and curricula–from history books to sex ed classes–are likewise being purged of any discussion of gender that may differ from the administration’s definitions. Transgender people across the country–including the actress Hunter Schafer–were shocked to find their passports returned to them with the wrong gender marker, potentially forcing them to out themselves as transgender to airport security (which is already a series of humiliations for trans people) or while traveling abroad. Transgender people were banned from military service in an order claiming that transgender people inherently lack the “honesty” needed to serve in the military, and transgender federal workers have had their rights stripped and any language recognizing their identity censored.
The most dire situation for transgender people in the US is unfolding in the federal prison system where incarcerated trans people, already subject to routine abuse, violence, neglect, and torturously-prolonged stays in solitary confinement, are being explicitly denied whatever little dignity they may have previously maintained as the administration forces transgender women into men’s facilities (where their well-documented risks for rape, assault, and suicide are being ignored).
This was kicked into overdrive following the assassination of Charlie Kirk which, while carried out by a cisgender man who authorities say acted alone, was almost immediately blamed on transgender people by figures on the right like Elon Musk, Donald Trump, Jr. and Nancy Mace, fueled by spurious and retracted FBI reports (repeated by The Wall Street Journal and The New York Times) and a healthy dose of confirmation bias. The Heritage Foundation (of Project 2025 fame) even urged the FBI to begin investigating “Transgender Ideology Violent Extremism,” mapping the strategies used to associate Palestinian student activists with terrorism onto all 2.8 million transgender people. President Trump soon issued a national security bulletin, NPSM-7, including in a lengthy list of potential leftist “terrorism” networks those who are “extremists” on “gender” or against “traditional American views on family, religion, and morality,” with Attorney General Pam Bondi offering cash rewards to those who report them. The Department of Justice is reportedly looking into means of suspending the Second Amendment rights of “trannies,” raising the specter of forced disarmament of an entire minority group.
It also follows five straight years of legislative and judicial battles at the state level, which, in June, resulted in a devastating Supreme Court decision upholding age restrictions on gender-affirming hormone therapies and, next month, will result in arguments over bans on athletic participation that conservative activists hope will implicate our rights under the Constitution’s equal protection clause altogether.
All of this has added to a prevailing sense of dread among even the most privileged transgender people I know. As a population—one that already experiences heightened rates of poverty, homelessness, illness, and criminalization—we are no strangers to precarity. But whatever grasp some of us have on anything like a stable foundation is being shaken by forces much larger and wealthier than us determined to ring the last drop of political value and sadistic pleasure they can consume from our misery. How does one plan for the future when the healthcare they or their child needs to live is subject to the momentum of Congressional debates? How do you allow yourself to dream when the constant tantrums over your existence won’t even let you sleep? To live in this environment is to experience the vertigo of the free diver floating above an ocean canyon, unsure of how deep the water descends or how far the light can penetrate. The only thing you are sure of is the need to stay afloat.
We are far from alone in this. The terrorizing of immigrant communities, the destruction of public goods and government services that took decades to build, the coercive threats to free speech and free expression, the rewiring of our public health infrastructure to honor a deadly and eugenic philosophy, and the open robbery and corruption at the expense of the world’s poorest and to the benefit of the world’s wealthiest. The years since the start of the COVID pandemic have left the country teetering on the edge. Biden’s presidency was clearly a failure to pull us back from it; Trump’s first year in office has felt like a desperate effort to push us off of it. All of it is meant to establish the most narrow vision imaginable of who is worthy of the “privileges” of citizenship based on racist and archaic ideas about worth, culture, dignity, and the body, combined with a religious faith in the power of debasement, poverty, suffering, and violence to contain people as individuals and a population.
In one of the more holistic diagnoses from this year, Naomi Klein and Astra Taylor described the uniting philosophy behind this administration, its anxious base, its billionaire benefactors, and the rise of similar far-right leaders globally as “end times fascism”:
As fascism always does, today’s Armageddon complex crosses class lines, bonding billionaires to the Maga base. Thanks to decades of deepening economic stresses, alongside ceaseless and skillful messaging pitting workers against one another, a great many people understandably feel unable to protect themselves from the disintegration that surrounds them (no matter how many months of ready-to-eat meals they buy). But there are emotional compensations on offer: you can cheer the end of affirmative action and DEI, glorify mass deportation, enjoy the denial of gender-affirming care to trans people, villainize educators and health workers who think they know better than you, and applaud the demise of economic and environmental regulations as a way to own the libs. End times fascism is a darkly festive fatalism – a final refuge for those who find it easier to celebrate destruction than imagine living without supremacy.
As Klein and Taylor note, trans people’s role in this dark circus is as one of many demons haunting the mythical golden age the Trump administration sells back to its base. The most succint description of this dynamic came earlier this year from Laverne Cox: “they’re worried about the wrong one percent.” Our humiliation and suffering is meant to be redistributive in what the scholar Arlie Russel Hochschild calls “the pride economy”—that zero-sum mix of economic and cultural forces that assigns dignity to some but not to others. My own writing this year has likewise emphasized transgender people’s role as victims in an asymmetrical political war—an impoverished, politically powerless minority being steamrolled by all the dark money forces of the right-wing could muster—to contrast that reality with the right (and, increasly, the center’s) absurd distortions of us as mascots for an entitled elite.
As factual and essential as that corrective may be, it’s also quite degrading. It puts transgender people and the movement for our rights in a state of perpetual begging for relief. As Sarah Schulman noted in her essential book on the Palestinian solidarity movement earlier this year, solidarity is always an uneven relationship, one between the suffering and those immune to it by virtue of birth, privilege, wealth, or citizenship. It’s a hand reaching upward, grasping a hand reaching downward—rarely is it a relationship of equals and thus one that risks turning exploitative. Asking for relief from those more powerful than you requires humility—a valuable good in any instance—but it should never sacrifice agency, and the more I position transgender people as mere victims of circumstance, the further away I feel from ensuring we are part of the solution to the many crises at hand.
One of the best books I read this year was The Dream of A Common Movement, a collection of speeches and writings from the lesbian feminist Urvashi Vaid over the course of forty years of organizing and advocacy. Vaid, who died from cancer in 2022, was a longtime critic of the turn mainstream LGBTQ activism took over the course of the 1990s to the Supreme Court’s 2015 decision in Obergefell. The vaulting of marriage rights as the premiere gay issue, Vaid said, pushed the movement away from grassroots organizing and towards a single-issue, identity-based approach, she warned in 2010, “is a vestigial burden we need to shed. It narrows our imagination and vision; it does not serve large numbers of our own people; and it feeds the perception that we are generally privileged and powerful, and not in need of civil equality.”
As far back as 1999, Vaid noted the LGBTQ movement was demanding and hurtling towards the precarious state of not true equality but “virtual equality” defined as “the creation of zones of freedom inside a fundamentally intransigent social system of family, marriage, state, and economy. In terms of public policy. We end up working piecemeal on small solutions that benefit particular communities in the short run, rather than working in a more concerted way to make systemic change that could benefit all of us in the long run.”
From this perspective, it’s easy to see how transgender people were left so vulnerable to the retrenchment we’re seeing now. The fight for this “virtual equality” under the banner of gay marriage was essential, but it left us with a movement whose “Achilles’ heel,” writes Vaid, was always its lack of a grassroots movement. Particularly following the capture of the Supreme Court and much of the federal judiciary during Trump’s first term, this left “LGBT rights” in the United States on a foundation of sand quickly washed out to see by the torrential tides of grievance, resentment, and fear.
In a lecture given at Vassar College in 2011—when public opinion and political momentum seemed to finally be marshalling behind the fight for gay marriage—Vaid urged advocates to be wary of “access politics” that grant some gay people entry into elite spaces while abandoning solidarity with those denied entry. “Should we take pride in the fact that we are now in the back rooms where deals are being cut, and politicians are being lobbied?” she asked. “I’ve been in those rooms. I do not feel pride at the devolution of our democratic, diverse movement into a moneyed elite pressing for rights (largely for itself).”
I, too, have been in those rooms, pressing for the most narrow of victories in the face of totalizing threats of impoverishment. I would not describe myself (or really any transgender person I can think of) as a “moneyed elite,” but I recognize the frustration of allyship with political leaders that routinely fail their own voters—an allyship that elevates trans people to new heights of visibility but only leaves us more vulnerable to backlash. Over the last half century, said Vaid, “Progress on rights has coincided with the destruction of economic security for the middle class and the consolidation of wealth and power by the most wealthy and powerful…the [LGBT] movement puts forward the optimistic message that ‘it gets better’ to young people to offer hope, in a context where the possibility of achieving the ‘good life’ has shrunk for most people.”
Earlier this year, Waleed Shahid offered a similar diagnosis through the lens of Black radicalism and the fight for racial justice. In a response to claims identity politics represents “a fox in liberalism’s henhouse,” Shahid rightfully notes that it was neoliberalism itself that built both the shallow, naive conception of identity politics adopted by elected Democrats in the 2010s and the conditions for its backlash. Black political thinkers have long argued that American liberalism is both indispensable and inadequate,” writes Shahid:
“Rights and neutral rules are necessary, but hollow if a racialized political economy decides where you live, who polices you, and what work you can get…By the Obama years, the classic liberal toolkit was exhausted. The big rights laws were already on the books. Congress had become a machine for gridlock, not for landmark legislation. If you can’t realistically imagine passing a new Voting Rights Act, Fair Housing Act, or full-employment program, you stop arguing about those things and start arguing about behavior and culture. When structural reform is off the table, politics slides toward ‘microaggressions,’ representation, and speech codes.”
This is the true risk of identity-first politics, which Vaid called “a necessary mistake”—necessary to push back against reactionary efforts to divide us, but a mistake to render the only focal point of your worldview and activism. As Judith Butler told El Pais magazine earlier this year, “Identity is, for me, a point of departure for alliances, which need to include all kinds of people…But you can’t have a politics of identity that is only about identity. If you do that, you draw sectarian lines, and you abandon our interdependent ties.“
For all the chaos and suffering we experienced this year, the “common movement” of Vaid’s dream, one based on Butler’s “interdependent ties,” seemed more than possible in 2025. Zohran Mamdani was elected mayor of New York City in no small part because he built the broadest coalition possible on a foundation of shared values and a shared vision. His campaign offered a model of what it means to grow beyond identity without gleefully abandoning the people who inhabit those identities (as some centrist Democrats have chosen to do). Mamdani’s core message was simultaneously idealistic and pragmatic, connecting universal dignity with concrete and comprehensible policy demands grounded in everyday life. Mamdani often quoted Martin Luther King, Jr., who, similar to Vaid, warned of the limits of legal equality even as he fiercely organized for it: “What good is the right to sit at a lunch counter if you can’t afford a hamburger?”
What would it mean to ground transgender people’s fight for health care, autonomy, and freedom in a similar framework? Our needs are often portrayed, including by some transgender people and our allies, as particular and alien, thick with the language of pathology and difference. But is the self-determination we demand so different from that of other people’s? Are the forces caging us inside their narrow, backwards-facing worldview any different from those demanding homogeneity and conformity in our communities and our culture? And is not the prospect that our freedom must come at the sacrifice of others, not being pushed by the same billionaires robbing our government for their own benefit?
2025 was a remarkably dissonant year—one could watch new political dynamics and cultural forces being born even as the old order, now typified by its former chaos agents like Donald Trump, refuses to die. It’s a cliche to say any year in history is a transitional year—history is always in a state of flux if not quite evolution—but 2025 has shown us both the darkness we’re being pulled towards and the path toward something brighter. For all the hardship transgender people have endured this year (and likely will in 2026), it may seem strange to say I’m excited for the possibility of what’s next. I still feel that the future lacks clarity, and I still feel the urgency of the crises we face. But both vision and resolve seem easier when you know you aren’t pursuing them alone.