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AI Fear Trade, Emotional Markets, Avoiding Value Traps, and Current Opportunities
Some thoughts on the recent emotional buying and selling around the "AI Fear Trade", along with case studies and comments on some stocks that I think…
Feb 13
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John Huber
53
3
5
Thoughts on Market Valuations, AI, Productivity and Shortages
Plus: Tickle Me Elmo and end user demand; Why do all shortages end in gluts? And who is TSMC's customers' customers' customer?
Jan 27
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John Huber
118
7
12
Lincoln Post: NFLX and Theaters, FCNCA Earnings
More Thoughts on NFLX and Theaters, Ted Sarandos comments for that business, CNK, MCS; also FCNCA earnings update, and the overemphasis on asset…
Jan 25
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John Huber
28
8
2
Contrarian Low-Cost Producer at a 15% FCF Yield + Excess Real Estate
Large margin of safety from the valuable real estate being monetized, underappreciated moat with key cost advantages, growth prospects thanks to new law…
Dec 29, 2025
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John Huber
30
10
2
Oil Free Cash Flow: California and Canada vs Texas; Charlie Munger's Investment Mistake; A Producer at Half of Liquidation Value
Why California & Canadian oil production has better ROIC and more FCF than Texas; a look at one of Charlie's biggest investment mistakes (his own…
Dec 22, 2025
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John Huber
39
2
2
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Movie Theaters Risk and Opportunities; Netflix/WBD Deal; Is Disney Cheap?
Is the recent selloff in CNK overblown? Thoughts on the NFLX/WBD deal; MCS FCF; Thoughts on Disney and its valuation
Dec 8, 2025
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John Huber
6
6
2
Understanding ROIC on Low Growth Businesses
A discussion of ROIC vs FCF yield; does ROIC matter in low growth businesses? Some current examples of high FCF yield stocks
Dec 5, 2025
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John Huber
117
18
13
Two Types of Bank Investments; Thoughts on Asset Sensitivity; FCNCA's Value
Summary of bank investment strategy (bargains and compounders); Asset sensitivity might be misunderstood; a comparison of FCNCA vs other regional banks
Oct 28, 2025
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John Huber
32
8
2
High FCF Yield Stocks; Returns from Business Results vs P/E Ratio Expansion
Examples of stocks that offer high FCF yields, where returns are earned from business results without requiring P/E expansion
Sep 15, 2025
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John Huber
39
4
6
Quiet Compounders, a Hidden Moat and an 18% FCF Yield at Pitney Bowes (PBI)
A high margin, high ROIC business with a hidden moat for 5.5 P/FCF that is buying back shares.
Jul 11, 2025
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John Huber
47
30
1
Investment Evolution or Flexible Tactics?
A look at Warren Buffett's remarkable investment flexibility and some thoughts on opportunities over the next decade; current valuations; how to avoid…
Jun 2, 2025
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John Huber
115
4
8
A Compounder That's Ramping Up the Buyback
A big buyback announcement (14% of the shares) & recent insider buying; summary of the valuation and thoughts on the opportunistic mindset of its…
May 12, 2025
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John Huber
18
2
2
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