On his YouTube channel, Anders Puck Nielsen offers helpful observations about recent European and American geopolitical developments. Whereas many of us were disappointed in the European Union’s collective unwillingness to seize Russian assets two weeks ago, Nielsen underlines the significance of the €90 billion loan that the EU put together for Ukraine instead. He argues that Europe has now shown itself capable of exercising real geopolitical influence in a situation ostensibly dominated by Russia and the United States.
I agree that this development is a big deal. If Europe is still unable or unwilling to throw its military might around, it has now signaled that it is not to be trifled with in its own backyard. It will help Ukraine stay in its fight against Russian subjugation, regardless of what the fickle United States does.
As for Trump’s latest undertaking against Venezuela, Nielsen questions its strategic wisdom, even if the U.S. military has demonstrated impressive tactical and operational chops. Besides covering the attack’s illegality (according to both international and U.S. law) and its doubtful domestic political support in the United States, Nielsen observes that the world is being divided between imperial spheres of influence. Countries that value their independence need to think about what measures are necessary to preserve their freedom, even as imperial overstretch will place limits on imperial aggressors.
This last insight connects directly to Nielsen’s earlier thoughts on the €90 billion for Ukraine. Europe cannot afford to be complacent. For me, the ambiguous historical example of the Holy Roman Empire comes to mind. It had defensive military heft, but it was vulnerable to internal division. It survived many centuries but proved unable to hold on when faced with the paradigm-breaking French Revolutionary and Napoleonic Wars. In my YouTube comment, however, I was more focused on my frustration with the United States.
More people need to call out this administration on the difference between tactics/operations and strategy. This administration is headed by a man with no understanding of such things. He’s banking on U.S. military might while weakening the country’s economic and fiscal health, not to mention all the international links that made the US strong in the postwar era. It doesn’t help that few in our American billionaire class understand the relationship between U.S. soft power and social stability, on one hand, and their wealth, on the other.