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ETFs with Predictions. Ready for Prime Time?
Is the plumbing ready?
Feb 14
•
Andrew Courtney
20
1
1
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Don't just put the chart on the screen
What's missing when journalists cite prediction markets
Jan 16
•
Andrew Courtney
14
5
Mostly Beta
What was the R^2 of my own effort on my career?
Jan 2
•
Andrew Courtney
78
5
4
Prediction Markets: Truth Engine or Casino? A Scoring Framework
Plus a rant about gambling and a few hot takes
Dec 9, 2025
•
Andrew Courtney
21
3
4
ChatGPT + $20k + Grammys
The opposite of adverse selection
Nov 18, 2025
•
Andrew Courtney
23
6
1
So-Called "Bonds" in Prediction Markets
Rare events teach slowly
Nov 5, 2025
•
Andrew Courtney
54
10
6
from the Kalshinomics Lab: conditional election probabilities
And when the arbitrage dream may become a nightmare
Oct 28, 2025
•
Andrew Courtney
17
1
A quick survey of prediction market fees
not so simple
Oct 23, 2025
•
Andrew Courtney
7
1
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